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What is LTV? Customer lifetime value explained

Customer lifetime value (LTV, also called CLV) is the total revenue a customer is expected to generate over their whole relationship with your store. It shifts attention from a single sale to the value of keeping a customer coming back.

How LTV is calculated

The most common simple formula multiplies three averages:

LTV = average order value × purchase frequency × average customer lifespan

  • Average order value = total revenue ÷ number of orders.
  • Purchase frequency = number of orders ÷ number of unique customers, over a set period (for example, per year).
  • Customer lifespan = how long, on average, a customer keeps buying.

Hypothetical example: customers spend $40 per order, order 3 times a year and stay for 2 years. LTV = $40 × 3 × 2 = $240.

Many teams multiply the result by gross margin to get a profit-based LTV, which is the figure that should be compared with what you spend to acquire a customer. Analytics tools also report an observed version: Google Analytics 4's Lifetime value metric shows the total revenue from purchases a user has actually made, net of refunds, rather than a forecast.

Why LTV matters

  • Acquisition budgets. If a customer is worth $240 in revenue over their lifetime, you can judge what you can afford to pay to win one, after margin and costs.
  • Retention focus. LTV grows when customers buy more often or stay longer, so loyalty programs, post-purchase emails and good service show up directly in the number.
  • Segment comparison. LTV by acquisition channel or first product often reveals that the cheapest customers to win are not the most valuable ones.

Common mistakes

  • Using revenue instead of margin when comparing LTV with acquisition cost.
  • One average for everyone. A store-wide LTV hides big differences; cohort analysis and RFM segmentation show which groups drive it.
  • Guessing lifespan. A young store has little history, so treat early LTV figures as estimates and revisit them as data accumulates.

Sources

  • Shopify, "What is customer lifetime value? How to calculate CLV"
  • Google Analytics Help, "[GA4] Dimensions and metrics" (Lifetime value)

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